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All commodity prices included in the CRB Index are derived from the quotation of exchange-traded forward contracts, so-called “futures”. Futures contracts are essentially time-limited bets between buyers and sellers on a price development.
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Unlike in the stock market, futures do not exist independently of stock market events, but are created at the moment when two previously neutral market participants make such a bet on price developments. This is a business transaction that increases the so-called open interest in the market, the number of current open contracts, the ongoing bets. For simplicity, assume that there are only two market participants and the open interest has increased from 0 to 1.

The basic principle

The buyer B (for "buyer") is "long" in the market after entering, the seller S (for "seller") is "short". The buyer B gains money when the price of the underlying contract rises. If B has bought at 100 USD per unit and the price of the product underlying the bet rises by 10 USD per unit, buyer B can book a (book) profit of 10 USD times the number of units. Seller S suffers a (book) loss of 10 USD per unit. If the price falls after the bet is made, S profits to the extent that B suffers a (book) loss.

Because of this principle, what one loses, the other gains, trades on futures exchanges are classified as zero-sum games. In a strict mathematical sense, this designation is not quite accurate. Buyers and sellers have to pay exchange and brokerage fees. But it captures the essence of the transaction sufficiently well. The book profits and book losses that buyers and sellers net become real profits and losses at the moment when the partners in the bet close out their positions through an offsetting transaction.

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Example

In the simple model of only one buyer B and only one seller S, this would mean that B makes a sale to S, from S's point of view this corresponds to a purchase. Both have bought and sold the same quantity on balance, so they no longer have a market position. Profits and losses are calculated for both according to the difference between the buying and selling price. In the simple model, the countertrade would reduce the open interest to zero.

Reality

In the reality of futures exchanges, there are thousands of market participants and it is unlikely that the offsetting trade will be with the original contract (or bet) partner. This would be an unsuitable business process for fast-moving exchange practice. In futures exchange practice, exchange members keep a record of their clients' respective open positions and offset with each other their net positions in the market in a process called "clearing." A stockbroker with 100 clients who are each "long" 100 contracts and 50 clients who are each "short" 100 contracts in the market has a net position of only 5000 long positions and must provide collateral to other stockbrokers only for these 5000 long positions.

In order to be able to provide this security, the stockbroker requires a security deposit from his clients per contract entered into (i.e. per bet placed). This collateral is intended to cushion adverse price movements of the client positions from client balances. The “margin”, the security required for trading (betting on) a contract, is significantly lower than the nominal value of a contract.

Using crude oil as an example, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Group, the holding company for New York’s NYMEX, currently requires margins of less than $10,000 as collateral for trading a WTI crude oil contract on NYMEX. This means that you can participate in the price development of a large commodity with a relatively small collateral line. This is an effect called leverage. In the example of the WTI contract, the leverage is greater than 1:12 – less than $10,000 margin for a contract currently worth around $120,000.

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